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How do partisans feel about the two parties?
Happy mothers day! I would like to take the introduction to this newsletter to thank all the moms out there. To my mom, you’ve raised two good kids and I’m grateful to have you as a role model – thank you so much for all that you do. To the other moms of the world,…
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Political Ideology and Racial Resentment
American politics in recent years has been defined by culture war. Our discourse is dominated by social issues to a degree we have never seen before, and marginalized groups are playing defense in a way reminiscent of less enlightened decades in our history. While the Democrats certainly have their flaws and ideological inconsistencies, I believe…
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Which party is more optimistic?
Political psychology has been one of the preeminent topics in the social sciences for the last several decades. Many prominent scholars – my favorite among them being Johnathan Haidt – have dedicated their academic careers to studying the neurological differences between Democrats and Republicans. From Theodor Adorno’s F Scale to measurable differences in openness and…
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How well do Americans predict next year’s economy?
I do not think it is controversial to say most people are pretty bad at predicting the future – economists included. But how bad are they really? This graph I made using data from the ANES might give us a clue: On this graph, the red line represents how Americans think the economy was the…
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How the economic recovery will impact Trump’s chances in 2024
It’s not a hot take to say the economy matters in elections – that fact has been well-known to social scientists for several decades. Much more qualified people have written extensively about this relationship, including the authors of one of my favorite studies I’ve read recently. Both reading that study and my declaration of an…
Data Driven Politics
Seek Truth, Not Comfort
Data Driven Politics 