Tag: economy
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Which party is more optimistic?
Political psychology has been one of the preeminent topics in the social sciences for the last several decades. Many prominent scholars – my favorite among them being Johnathan Haidt – have dedicated their academic careers to studying the neurological differences between Democrats and Republicans. From Theodor Adorno’s F Scale to measurable differences in openness and…
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How well do Americans predict next year’s economy?
I do not think it is controversial to say most people are pretty bad at predicting the future – economists included. But how bad are they really? This graph I made using data from the ANES might give us a clue: On this graph, the red line represents how Americans think the economy was the…
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How the economic recovery will impact Trump’s chances in 2024
It’s not a hot take to say the economy matters in elections – that fact has been well-known to social scientists for several decades. Much more qualified people have written extensively about this relationship, including the authors of one of my favorite studies I’ve read recently. Both reading that study and my declaration of an…
Data Driven Politics 